{"id":1132,"date":"2025-10-01T12:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T12:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/?p=1132"},"modified":"2026-04-21T16:35:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T16:35:57","slug":"1015199172025102-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/1015199172025102-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Predykcja emisji metanu na sk\u0142adowiskach odpad\u00f3w z wykorzystaniem metod statystycznych \/ Prediction of methane emissions from landfills using statistical methods"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-1771-8425\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tomasz Kwiatkowski<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-2971-1362\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Maria \u017bygad\u0142o<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DOI: <strong>10.15199\/17.2025.10.2<\/strong>, GWiTS 10\/2025, pa\u017adziernik 2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gazwoda.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Openaccess\/2025\/10\/1015199172025102.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Pobierz w PDF<\/a>\u00a0(Open Access)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Streszczenie:<br><\/strong>Sk\u0142adowiska odpad\u00f3w traktuje si\u0119 jako \u201ebioreaktor&#8221;, w kt\u00f3rym zachodz\u0105 procesy zmierzaj\u0105ce do zaplanowanej i kontrolowanej stabilizacji masy sk\u0142adowanych odpad\u00f3w. Wynikiem rozk\u0142adu biomasy odpad\u00f3w s\u0105 substancje sta\u0142e, p\u0142ynne i gazowe, m.in. metan. Nieod\u0142\u0105cznym elementem eksploatacji sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w s\u0105 podstawowe emisje biogazu oraz odciek\u00f3w. Eksperyment obejmowa\u0142 10 rzeczywistych sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w, kt\u00f3re monitorowano w okresie 5 lat. Pozyskana baza danych z bada\u0144 odciek\u00f3w i biogazu oraz danych meteorologicznych pos\u0142u\u017cy\u0142a do bada\u0144 z wykorzystaniem narz\u0119dzi statystycznych, tj. statystyka Pearsona i model drzew decyzyjnych. Celem badania by\u0142o wykazanie zwi\u0105zku pomi\u0119dzy parametrami odciek\u00f3w, wiekiem sk\u0142adowiska, warunkami eksploatacji sk\u0142adowiska, a sk\u0142adem biogazu. Wyznaczono g\u0142\u00f3wne czynniki (parametry wska\u017anikowe) decyduj\u0105ce o efektywno\u015bci metanowej sk\u0142adowiska. Pod poj\u0119ciem efektywno\u015bci metanowej nale\u017cy rozumie\u0107 udzia\u0142 procentowy metanu w biogazie emitowanym ze z\u0142o\u017ca odpad\u00f3w. Do prognozowania efektywno\u015bci metanowej zastosowano algorytm indukcji drzew decyzyjnych.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>S\u0142owa kluczowe:<\/strong> sk\u0142adowisko odpad\u00f3w, prognoza emisji metanu, statystyka Pearsona, drzewa decyzyjne<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong>:<br>The landfills are meant as a &#8220;bioreactor&#8221; in which the processes of processing and controlled stabilization of the landfilled mass are processed. The results of the decomposition of waste biomass are solid, liquid and gaseous, e.g. methane. Basic emissions of biogas and leachate are an inseparable element of the operation of landfill. The experiment led during the period of 5 years allowed to acquire database from leachate and biogas tests and meteorological data which were used for research using statistical tools, i.e. Pearson statistics and decision tree model. The aim of the study was to demonstrate the relationship between leachate parameters, landfill age, landfill operating conditions, and biogas composition. The main components (indicative parameters) of the term on the methane efficiency of the landfill were determined. The term methane efficiency should be interpreted as the percentage share of methane in the biogas emitted from the waste deposit. As a result of statistical modeling, for the additional classification \u2013 the tree structure was created for predicting methane efficiency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> landfil, methane emission forecast, Pearson statistics, decision tree<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bibliografia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[1] Biszek, M., Paw\u0142owska, M., Czerwi\u0144ski, J., 2006, Evaluation of Measurement Methods and Estimation of Biogas Emission from Landfills, Rocznik Ochrona \u015arodowiska 8, 27 \u2013 43.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[2] Boeckx, P., Cleemput, O.V., and Villaralvo, I., Methane emission from a landfill and the methane oxidizing capacity of its covering soil, 1996, Soil, Biol. Biochem., 28, 1397-1405.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[3] Chen, I.C., Hegde, U., Chang, C.H., and Yang, S.S., Methane and carbon dioxide emissions from closed landfill in Taiwan, 2008, Chemosphere, 70, 1484-1491<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[4] Czepiel, P.M., Shorter, J.H., et. al., The influence of atmospheric pressure on landfill methane emissions, 2003, Waste Management, 23 (7), 593-598.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[5] Faour AA., Reinhart D.R., You H. First-order kinetic gas generation model parameters for wet landfills, 2007, Waste Management, 27, 946\u2013953.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[6] Gaj K., Cybulska H., Modelowanie emisji biogazu ze sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w komunalnych, 2002, Chemia i In\u017cynieria Ekologiczna, 9, 91-99.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[7] J\u0119drczak A., Biologiczne przetwarzanie odpad\u00f3w, 2007, Wydawnictwo Naukowe, PWN,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[8] Jokela J.P.Y., Kettunen R.H., Rintala, J.A., Methane and leachate emission potential from variousfraction of municipalsolid waste (MSW), 2002, Waste Management &amp; Research, 20(5), 424\u2013453.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[9] Kalantarifard A, Yang G.S., Estimation of Methane Production by LANDGEM Simulation Model from Tanjung Langsat Municipal Solid Waste Landfill, Malaysia, 2012, International Journal of Science and Technology, 1(9), 481 \u2013 487.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[10] Kamalan H., Sabour M., Shariatmadari N. A review on available Landfill gas models, 2011, Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 4(2), 79-92.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[11] Kwiatkowski T., \u017bygad\u0142o M., Analiza korelacji mi\u0119dzy parametrami w\u00f3d odciekowych, warunkami zewn\u0119trznymi, a emisj\u0105 biogazu na sk\u0142adowisku odpad\u00f3w bytowych (VII Krakowska Konferencja M\u0142odych Uczonych Krak\u00f3w 2012), 663-671.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[12] Kwiatkowski T., \u017bygad\u0142o M., Determining Pearson&#8217;s linear correlation coefficient in order to establish the relation between the value of the leachate water reaction and the methane emission from a domestic waste disposal site, (TRANSCOM 2011 9th European Conference of Young Research and Scientific Workers Proceedings Section 7 Civil Engineering \u2013 \u017bylina 2011), 79 \u2013 84.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[13] Kwiatkowski T., \u017bygad\u0142o M., Forecasting Models for The Biogas Emissions from Landfills, 2016, Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization and Environmental Effects, 38(18), 2720-2726. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/15 567036.2015.1109011.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[14] Kwiatkowski T., \u017bygad\u0142o M., Forecasting the methane emission on the municipal waste landfill with using theoretical LandGEM model. (TRANSCOM 2013 10 th European Conference of Young Research and Scientific Workers Proceedings Section 7 Civil Engineering \u2013 \u017bylina2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[15] Kwiatkowski T., \u017bygad\u0142o M., Modelling a landfill energy potential based on the monitoring investigation results, 2012, Structure and Environment 4, (1), 43-51.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[16] Manczarski P. Odgazowanie sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w komunalnych \u2013 zagadnienia techniczno \u2013 technologiczne, 2008, Instytut Nafty i Gazu \u2013 Pa\u0144stwowy Instytut Badawczy, Nafta-Gaz, nr 13-10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[17] Manczarski P. Odgazowanie sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w komunalnych \u2013 zagadnienia techniczno-technologiczne, I Symp, Energia z odpad\u00f3w, Gda\u0144sk 1999.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[18] Nair A., Sartaj M., Kennedy K., Coelho N. M., Enhancing biogas production from anaerobic biodegradation of the organic fraction of municipal solid waste through leachate blending and recirculation, 2014, Waste Management &amp; Research, 32(10), 939-946.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[19] Nalimow W. W., Czernowa N.A., Statystyczne metody planowania do\u015bwiadcze\u0144 ekstremalnych, 1967, WNT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[20] National Pollutant Inventory, Emission estimation technique manual for Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Landfills, 2010), Version 2.0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[21] Pestman W. R., Mathematical Statistics, Second revised edition, (New York 2000).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[22] PN-ISO 5667-10:1997, Jako\u015b\u0107 wody \u2013 Pobieranie pr\u00f3bek \u2013 Wytyczne pobierania pr\u00f3bek \u015bciek\u00f3w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[23] Qu X, He PJ, Shao LM, Lee DJ., Heavy metals mobility in full-scale bioreactor landfill: Initial stage, 2008, Chemosphere, 70(5), 769-777.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[24] Quinlan, J.R., Induction of decision trees, 1986, Machine Learning 1, 81-106.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[25] Rafey A., Siddiqui F.,Z., Modelling and simulation of landfill methane model, 2023, Cleaner Energy Systems 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[26] Rozporz\u0105dzenie Ministra Gospodarki z dnia 16 lipca 2015 r. w sprawie dopuszczania odpad\u00f3w do sk\u0142adowania na sk\u0142adowiskach (Dz. U. 2015, poz. 1277).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[27] Rozporz\u0105dzenie Ministra \u015arodowiska z dnia 30 kwietnia 2013 r. w sprawie sk\u0142adowisk odpad\u00f3w (Dz. U. 2013 nr 0 poz. 523 ze zm.).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[28] Sanchez R., Tsotsis T. T., Sahimi M., Computer simulation of gas generation and transport in landfills. IV Modeling of liquid\u2013gas flow, 2010, Chemical Engineering Science, 65, 1212\u20131226.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[29] Scharff H, Jacobs J., Applying guidance for methane emission estimation for landfills, 2006, Waste Management, 26(4), 417\u2013429.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[30] Swati M., Kurian J., Settlement analysis of fresh and partially stabilised municipal solid waste in simulated controlled dumps and bioreactor landfills, 2007, Waste Management 28, 1355\u20131363.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[31] Tchobanoglous G., Salvato J.A., Nemerov N.L., Agardy F.J, Environmental Engineering, 2003, 5nd ed., John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc., Hoboken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[32] Tregoures, A., Beneito, A., Berne, P., Gonze, M.A., Sabroux, J.C., Savanne, D., Pokryszka, Z., Tauziede, C., Cellier, P., Laville, P., Milward, R., Arnaud, A., Levy, F., and Burkhalter, R., Comparison of seven methods for measuring methane flux at a municipal solid waste landfill site, 1999, Waste Manage. &amp; Res., 17(6), 453-458.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[33] US EPA, dost\u0119p 19.11.2023, www.epa.gov\/ttnatw01\/landfill\/landflpg.html.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[34] Ustawa z dnia 14 grudnia 2012 r. o odpadach (Dz. U. z 2013 r. poz. 21 ze zm.).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[35] Warith M. A., Bioreactor landfills: experimental and field results, 2002, Waste Managament, 22(1), 7\u201317.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[36] Warith M. A., Solid waste management: new trends in landfill design, 2003, Emirates Journal for Engineering Research, 8(1), 61-70.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[37] Wens P., Vercauteren T., De Windt W., Verstraete W., Factors inhibiting anaerobic degradation in a landfill, 2001, The Eighth International Waste Management and Landfill Symposium, 13-20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[38] Yoshida M., Sothom A., Souissi N., Bousselmi L., Jedidi N., Ghrabi A., Ferchichi M. Characterization of leachate from Henchir El Yahoudia closed landfill, 2002, Solid Waste Landfill and Soil\/Sediment Contamination: Case Studies in Tunisia, I, 1-9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[39] Zaleska-Bartosz J., Gaz sk\u0142adowiskowy jako \u017ar\u00f3d\u0142o energii, 2014, Nafta-Gaz12, 932\u2013937.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[40] Zhang H., He P., Shao L., Methane emissions from MSW landfill with sandy soil covers under leachate recirculation and subsurface irrigation, 2008, Atmospheric Environment 42, 5579-5588.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[41] \u017bygad\u0142o M., Principles of solid waste treatment and management, 2013, Ed. Kielce Iniv. Techn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\">Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Maria \u017bygad\u0142o, GWiTS 10\/2025<\/div>\n<p> <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/1015199172025102-2\/\" title=\"Predykcja emisji metanu na sk\u0142adowiskach odpad\u00f3w z wykorzystaniem metod statystycznych \/ Prediction of methane emissions from landfills using statistical methods\"> &#8230;<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[35],"class_list":["post-1132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-wszystkie_artykuly","tag-10-2025"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1132"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1132\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3312,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1132\/revisions\/3312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gwits.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}